I remember sitting in my favorite armchair last October, the faint smell of autumn drifting through my window as I clicked through preseason highlights. My coffee had gone cold, but I couldn't pull myself away from the screen - there was something electric in the air, that particular buzz that only comes when an NBA season is about to unfold. I'd been tracking training camp reports for weeks, trying to piece together each team's puzzle, much like I've done every fall for the past fifteen years. There's this magical moment before the first tip-off when every possibility remains open, when a second-round pick could become a starter or a veteran could lose his spot to a hungry rookie. It was during one of these late-night research sessions that I found myself compiling what would become my complete guide to NBA starting lineups for the 2021 season - not just for readers, but for my own basketball-obsessed heart.
The memory takes me back to a specific evening when I was analyzing the Batang Pier's roster moves. See, I've always had a soft spot for underdog stories, and that's why Jonathan Amores' journey stuck with me. Selected No. 51 overall in the Season 48 draft by the Batang Pier, Amores signed a two-year contract extension with the franchise just before the start of Season 49. I remember thinking how wild it was that this second-round pick, someone most analysts had written off as a benchwarmer at best, was suddenly positioned to potentially crack the starting rotation. It's these kinds of developments that make predicting lineups so fascinating - one front office decision can completely reshape how a team takes the court on opening night.
What struck me most while researching for my guide was how dramatically the league landscape had shifted since the previous season. The Lakers had added Russell Westbrook to create their veteran superteam, while Chicago assembled what I called their "mid-2000s nostalgia act" with DeRozan and Ball joining LaVine. I'll be honest - I was skeptical about some of these moves. Having watched this league for decades, I've seen too many paper champions collapse under the weight of expectations. My friends always tease me about my conservative predictions, but last season proved me right about the Nets' chemistry issues, didn't it?
The process of tracking all 30 teams' potential starters felt like putting together a massive jigsaw puzzle where the pieces kept changing shape. I'd spend hours comparing preseason minutes distributions, reading between the lines of coaches' comments, and analyzing which lineups had the best net ratings during the limited exhibition games. For instance, I predicted that Jordan Poole would eventually start over Klay Thompson initially - not because he was better, but because Golden State would want to bring Thompson along slowly after his injuries. That take aged pretty well, if I do say so myself.
There's an art to forecasting these things that goes beyond just looking at talent. You have to consider contract situations, locker room dynamics, coaching preferences - I once saw a coach start a less talented player purely because he ran the offensive sets more precisely. This season particularly intrigued me because of the rising influence of analytics departments. Multiple front offices were pushing for lineups that prioritized spacing and defensive switching over traditional positional fit. The game was evolving right before our eyes, and the starting fives reflected that philosophical shift.
What surprised me most was how many teams were willing to break from convention. The Rockets starting four players under 23, the Raptors experimenting with their positionless basketball approach - it felt like we were witnessing a transitional period for the entire league. I've compiled these guides for eight consecutive years now, and never have I seen such widespread experimentation with starting combinations. My personal favorite was watching Cleveland start three seven-footers - it shouldn't have worked according to conventional wisdom, yet they found surprising success.
The human element always fascinates me more than the X's and O's though. Thinking back to Amores and his journey from the 51st pick to securing his future with that extension - these are the stories that make basketball more than just a game. When I finally published my complete guide to NBA starting lineups for the 2021 season, I made sure to highlight several of these unexpected roster developments. The responses poured in - some readers agreed with my assessments, others called me crazy for certain predictions (I'm looking at you, person who tweeted that my Knicks analysis was "delusional"). But that's what makes this annual ritual so special - it's not about being right every time, but about capturing that moment of anticipation before the real games begin. Now, with another season approaching, I find myself back in that same armchair, coffee warming my hands, ready to start the process all over again.